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Plastic Leakage

Global Plastic leakage to the environment – projections, OECD report

Elif Akkaya*, Üsküdar Amerikan Lisesi, İstanbul

Background and Aim: Plastic material use is very common today and has become a part of modern life. The widespread use of plastics is a source for plastic waste. Aim of the study is to draw attention to the global increase in plastic waste and the need for project proposals for solutions.

Methods: Dataset of Global plastic leakage to the environment between years 2019-2060 were searched on the website of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Additionally, data were searched on the website of the Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change.

Results: Based on scientific research, OECD used a prediction model that predicts how much global plastic waste will be by 2060 (1-4). OECD data predicts that Global plastic leakage will increase gradually until 2060 (Table). Additionally, Global Plastics Outlook – plastics use by application will increase according to the prediction model of OECD (5): Building & Construction, Electrical/electronics, Packaging, Transportation-other, Consumer & institutional products, Marine coating, Industrial/machinery, Textile sector-clothing, Personal care products, Textile sector-other, Road marking, Transportation, Other…etc. On 1 January 2019, a fee application was started for nylon bags within the scope of the Sustainable Environment and Climate Change/Prevention and Protection of Environmental Pollution Programme by the Republic of Turkey.  Since January 1, 2019, the use of plastic bags per person in shopping has been reduced by 70% according to the 2022-23 strategic plan of The Ministry of Environment, Urbanization and Climate Change (6).

Conclusion: Decrease in the use of plastic bags is promising in terms of reducing plastic waste in Turkey. However, it is seen that there is a need for new projects to reduce the waste of plastic in other sectors where plastic use is common.

Table. Global plastic leakage according to the prediction model of OECD

 Year 2019-2029 (11 years)Year 2030-2040 (11 years)Year 2041-2050 (10 years)Year 2051-2060 (10 years)
Macroplastics230,20275,43303,27358,29
Microplastics32,7741,3345,4653,74
Total262,97316,77348,73412,02

Data characteristics: Reference period: 2019-2060. Unit of measure used: Tonnes (t) of plastics. Date last updated: 05-May-2022. Data from the OECD website are presented in the table, simplified to the basis of ten-year.

Key words: Global plastic, Environment, Waste


*Student, Uskudar American Academy, elimertgrimi@gmail.com, ORCID No: 0000-0003-4559-1660